Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.000151 0.000169 0.000188 0.000209 0.000234 0.000260 0.000290
2025-08-10 0.000123 0.000146 0.000173 0.000205 0.000244 0.000288 0.000342
2025-08-17 0.000105 0.000132 0.000164 0.000205 0.000257 0.000320 0.000401
2025-08-24 0.000090 0.000118 0.000154 0.000202 0.000265 0.000344 0.000452
2025-08-31 0.000079 0.000108 0.000147 0.000201 0.000274 0.000371 0.000509
2025-09-07 0.000070 0.000100 0.000141 0.000200 0.000284 0.000399 0.000568
2025-09-14 0.000063 0.000093 0.000135 0.000199 0.000292 0.000423 0.000623
2025-09-21 0.000058 0.000088 0.000132 0.000201 0.000304 0.000456 0.000693
2025-09-28 0.000053 0.000084 0.000129 0.000202 0.000315 0.000485 0.000761
2025-10-05 0.000048 0.000078 0.000125 0.000200 0.000322 0.000509 0.000820
2025-10-12 0.000046 0.000076 0.000124 0.000205 0.000338 0.000548 0.000907
2025-10-19 0.000043 0.000073 0.000121 0.000206 0.000348 0.000578 0.000981
2025-10-26 0.000039 0.000069 0.000118 0.000205 0.000356 0.000608 0.001058
2025-11-02 0.000036 0.000065 0.000114 0.000203 0.000362 0.000632 0.001129
2025-11-09 0.000034 0.000062 0.000112 0.000205 0.000373 0.000668 0.001222
2025-11-16 0.000031 0.000059 0.000108 0.000202 0.000377 0.000690 0.001293
2025-11-23 0.000029 0.000056 0.000105 0.000201 0.000384 0.000718 0.001376
2025-11-30 0.000027 0.000053 0.000103 0.000201 0.000392 0.000749 0.001469
2025-12-07 0.000025 0.000051 0.000100 0.000199 0.000397 0.000775 0.001551
2025-12-14 0.000024 0.000049 0.000099 0.000202 0.000410 0.000816 0.001668
2025-12-21 0.000022 0.000048 0.000097 0.000203 0.000421 0.000853 0.001779
2025-12-28 0.000021 0.000045 0.000095 0.000201 0.000426 0.000880 0.001871
2026-01-04 0.000020 0.000045 0.000095 0.000206 0.000444 0.000934 0.002025